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ECB meeting is key for the EUR
The euro is under pressure. Its fall continues since the middle of April. EUR/USD reached the lowest levels since November 2017. A strong plunge of the single currency is caused by the weak economic data. The European economy suffers because of political problems in Italy, the Brexit deal, and trade wars.
The European Central Bank will release the interest rate at 14:45 MT time on June 14. At 15:30 MT time, the central bank will hold a press conference.
The ECB has been keeping the interest rate on hold since March 2016. Investors don’t expect the interest rate to be changed as the central bank hasn’t ended the quantitative easing yet. At the previous meeting, the ECB stated that “members broadly agreed that an ample degree of monetary policy accommodation remained necessary to accompany the economic expansion and secure the gradual convergence of inflation to levels below, but close to, 2%. The remaining uncertainties and the still muted underlying inflation pressures continued to justify caution and underlined the need to maintain patience, persistence, and prudence with regard to monetary policy”. It puts additional pressure on the euro.
If the central bank stays cautious this time as well, the euro won’t have chances to recover.
• Dovish ECB – weak euro;
• Hawkish ECB – strong euro.
In December, a major measure of American producer prices suddenly slumped and the overall gauge went down more than predicted in the face of lower crude prices, indicating that potential inflation pressures in the American economy are still there…
The level of British consumer price index (CPI) will be released on January 16 at 11:30 MT time.
Safe havens such as gold and Japanese yen declined as investors sentiment was boosted by eased geopolitical tensions…
On Tuesday, the euro tacked on because market participants waited for reports on inflation and growth in the euro zone, while the Japanese yen went down after Japan’s major bank told it would be more flexible in its huge stimulus program…
On Tuesday, the evergreen buck dived because the common currency bounced off and the UK pound managed to ascend to the day’s maximums reacting to reports that British Prime Minister Theresa May is going to take control of Brexit talks…